Daily Markets Broadcast 2019-10-16

Daily Markets Broadcast

2019-10-16

Wall Street rises on earnings, Brexit optimism

The US reporting season got underway with banks managing to match expectations, though with a damped outlook. Negotiators say they are getting closer to a Brexit deal, though many “gaps” still remain. These two factors helped Wall Street to push higher, but the passing of the US Hong Kong democracy bill has tempered enthusiasm this morning.

 

US30USD Daily Chart

Source: OANDA fxTrade

  • The US30 index rose to the highest in three weeks after posting the biggest daily gain in 11 days
  • The index closed above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the drop from September 12 to October 3 at 26,974 for the first time since September 23. The 100-day moving average has risen to 26,512
  • US retail sales are expected to rise 0.3% m/m in September following a 0.4% gain in August. The Fed publishes its Beige Book, a barometer of activity in the 12 regional districts, later in the day.

 

DE30EUR Daily Chart

Source: OANDA fxTrade

  • The Germany30 index advanced to levels not seen since August last year after comments suggested Brexit negotiators are closer to concluding a deal
  • The next major resistance point could be the July 2018 high of 12,890. The 100-day moving average is at 12,147 today
  • ZEW surveys on economic sentiment for both Germany and the Euro-zone deteriorated in October, but came in better than market expectations. Euro-zone CPI for September and trade data for August are the only data points on the calendar today.

 

CN50USD Daily Chart

Source: OANDA fxTrade

  • The China50 index managed to hold on to Monday’s gains to near six-month highs despite China downplaying the progress in the so-called Phase One trade agreement
  • The index is hovering below the April high of 14,240. The 55- and 100-day moving averages are both rising, closing at 13,541 and 13,463 respectively yesterday
  • The US passing of the Hong Kong Human Rights and Democracy Act, which requires require an annual review of whether Hong Kong is sufficiently autonomous from Beijing to justify its special trading status, could have a negative impact on China and Hong Kong shares today.

 

 

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Andrew Robinson

Andrew Robinson

Senior Market Analyst at MarketPulse
A seasoned professional with more than 30 years’ experience in foreign exchange, interest rates and commodities, Andrew Robinson is a senior market analyst with OANDA, responsible for providing timely and relevant market commentary and live market analysis throughout the Asia-Pacific region. Having previously worked in Europe, since moving to Singapore he worked with several leading institutions including Bloomberg, Saxo Capital Markets and Informa Global Markets, proving FX strategies based on a combination of technical and fundamental analysis as well as market flow information. Andrew began his career as an FX dealer with NatWest and the Royal Bank of Scotland in the UK.
Andrew Robinson

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