Oil lower but set to log big weekly gain

Oil futures fell Friday, but the U.S. benchmark remains on track for a more-than-3% weekly rise after a large fall in U.S. inventories and some cautious optimism on trade.

West Texas Intermediate crude for the October delivery CLV19, -1.45% fell 77 cents, or 1.4%, to $55.94 a barrel, but was still headed for a 3.3% weekly rise. It’s been a tough August for crude, with the commodity slipping into a bear market. The U.S. benchmark remains on track for a 4.5% monthly decline.

November Brent crude BRNX19, -0.81%, the global benchmark, lost 45 cents, or 0.7%, to trade at $60.04 a barrel on ICE Europe, leaving it with a 1.2% weekly rise. Brent is off 7.6% for the month.

China’s foreign ministry on Friday said U.S. and China negotiators were maintaining effective communication, Reuters reported. Oil was rocked earlier this month as investors dumped assets perceived as risky following escalating tariff announcements by Beijing and Washington that heightened worries over the global and U.S. economic outlook.

Oil was buoyed this week, however, as both sides appeared to keep prospects alive for talks next month. Crude was also lifted after government data on Wednesday showed a much larger-than-expected decline in weekly crude inventories.

“Energy prices benefited greatly [this week] from a huge drop in U.S. stockpiles and some constructive rhetoric from the U.S.-China trade war,” said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA, in a note. “Today’s 1% drop with oil could be short-lived as we see hurricane season pickup and we will likely see tensions pickup again in the Persian Gulf.”

Hurricane Dorian is expected to hit Florida over the Labor Day weekend. The National Hurricane Center said the Category 2 storm is expected to strengthen.

In other energy trade, October gasoline RBV19, -1.28% fell 1.2% to $1.556 a gallon, while October heating oil HOV19, -0.66% was off 0.6% at $1.8586.

October natural gas NGV19, -0.74% was 0.7% lower at $2.28 per million British thermal units.


This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Ed Moya

Ed Moya

Senior Market Analyst, The Americas at OANDA
With more than 20 years’ trading experience, Ed Moya is a senior market analyst with OANDA, producing up-to-the-minute intermarket analysis, coverage of geopolitical events, central bank policies and market reaction to corporate news. His particular expertise lies across a wide range of asset classes including FX, commodities, fixed income, stocks and cryptocurrencies. Over the course of his career, Ed has worked with some of the leading forex brokerages, research teams and news departments on Wall Street including Global Forex Trading, FX Solutions and Trading Advantage. Most recently he worked with TradeTheNews.com, where he provided market analysis on economic data and corporate news. Based in New York, Ed is a regular guest on several major financial television networks including CNBC, Bloomberg TV, Yahoo! Finance Live, Fox Business and Sky TV. His views are trusted by the world’s most renowned global newswires including Reuters, Bloomberg and the Associated Press, and he is regularly quoted in leading publications such as MSN, MarketWatch, Forbes, Breitbart, The New York Times and The Wall Street Journal. Ed holds a BA in Economics from Rutgers University.
Ed Moya