US open – All eyes on earnings

Heading for record territory

We’re trading in the green again on Friday, with US futures pointing to fresh record highs on Wall Street after a satisfying testimony from Jerome Powell earlier in the week.

Source – Thomson Reuters Eikon

Powell testified on the semi-annual monetary policy report and Wednesday and Thursday and, safe to say, he passed with flying colors as far as investors are concerned.

His downbeat tone when reflecting on the economic outlook and inflation combined with his complete lack of desire to correct market expectations, despite a cut being 100% priced in this month, gave investors exactly what they wanted.

Trade talks are continuing between the US and China although Trump’s tweet about Chinese purchases of agricultural products yesterday further highlighted how more speed bumps may remain in the road ahead.

The G20 was a positive development but there’s still a long way to go and while a deal makes sense for both sides this year, it’s far from guaranteed and could hit many more snags.

Still, with talks ongoing and the Fed soon to be back in easing mode, attention can now shift to earnings season which gets underway next week. It’s expected to be a tough season for companies with a large number have offered negative guidance in the run up to it.

An earnings recession looks on the cards, with earnings expected to have declined by a little below 3% in the second quarter, further fueling the case for rate cuts.

Economic Calendar

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Craig Erlam

Craig Erlam

Senior Currency Analyst at OANDA
Based in London, England, Craig Erlam joined OANDA in 2015 as a Market Analyst. With more than five years' experience as a financial market analyst and trader, he focuses on both fundamental and technical analysis while conducting macroeconomic commentary. He has been published by The Financial Times, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Telegraph, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Sky News, Bloomberg, CNBC and BBC. Craig holds a full membership to the Society of Technical Analysts and he is recognized as a Certified Financial Technician by the International Federation of Technical Analysts.