Daily Markets Broadcast 2019-06-19

Daily Markets Broadcast

2019-06-19

Wall Street surges on trade hopes

Hopes that a one-on-one Trump-Xi meeting at the G-20 summit could get trade negotiations back on track lifted US indices yesterday. We also await the result of the FOMC meeting later today, where talk of an easing bias is expected. Dovish comments from the ECB also lifted sentiment.

 

US30USD Daily Chart

Source: OANDA fxTrade

  • The US30 index jumped the most in two weeks yesterday following Trump’s tweet on a planned “extended meeting” at the G-20 summit
  • The index closed above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the April-June drop at 26,226, and may be eyeing the April high of 26,668
  • The result of the two-day Fed meeting will be announced early Thursday (Singapore time) with market-based probabilities of a rate cut at 21% for this meeting and 83% for the July one. There are no other major data releases scheduled for today.

 

DE30EUR Daily Chart

Source: OANDA fxTrade

  • The Germany30 surged the most in five months yesterday after the ECB virtually promised that additional stimulus measures will be coming
  • The index is likely eyeing the May high of 12,452 as it rose through resistance at the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the May-June drop at 12,272
  • ECB Chief Draghi said that if the economic outlook didn’t improve, then additional stimulus was on the way. Financial press then reported that ECB members seemed to favour rate cuts as the primary tool.

 

CN50USD Daily Chart

Source: OANDA fxTrade

  • The China50 index jumped 2.4% yesterday on the Trump-Xi news, the biggest one-day gain in five weeks
  • The index closed above the 55-day moving average at 13,176 for the first time since May 6, and is testing the 50% retracement of the April-May drop at 13,269
  • US President Trump tweeted last night that he had a “very good” telephone conversation with President Xi of China, adding they will be having an extended meeting next week at the G-20 in Japan. He said “Our respective teams will begin talks prior to our meeting”. The phone call was confirmed by Chinese state media.

 

 

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Andrew Robinson

Andrew Robinson

Senior Market Analyst at MarketPulse
A seasoned professional with more than 30 years’ experience in foreign exchange, interest rates and commodities, Andrew Robinson is a senior market analyst with OANDA, responsible for providing timely and relevant market commentary and live market analysis throughout the Asia-Pacific region. Having previously worked in Europe, since moving to Singapore he worked with several leading institutions including Bloomberg, Saxo Capital Markets and Informa Global Markets, proving FX strategies based on a combination of technical and fundamental analysis as well as market flow information. Andrew began his career as an FX dealer with NatWest and the Royal Bank of Scotland in the UK.
Andrew Robinson

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