Gold – New high looming?

Gold eyes prior peak after brief correction

Gold is continuing to edge higher today, supported to an extent by the weaker dollar, not that it held the yellow metal back much yesterday.

It found strong support around $1,320 earlier this week and has since burst higher with the previous peak around $1,350 in its view. A break of this could propel gold higher, although it will have to be matched with momentum because as we saw last week, the absence of this saw it reverse course very quickly.

Gold Daily Chart

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The shallow correction earlier this week will be encouraging for gold bulls, having only retraced 38.2% on the previous pullback, although this optimism may fade fast if it runs out of steam prior to the peak. Risk appetite in the markets is likely to work against gold but the dollar looking vulnerable is clearly supportive.

Should gold fail to break and pull back further, I don’t think it changes the bullish appearance just yet. The area between the 50 and 61.8 fib levels – roughly between $1,300 and $1,320 – could be a very interesting support area for the yellow metal. A break of this and the picture may start to look very different.

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Craig Erlam

Craig Erlam

Senior Currency Analyst at OANDA
Based in London, England, Craig Erlam joined OANDA in 2015 as a Market Analyst. With more than five years' experience as a financial market analyst and trader, he focuses on both fundamental and technical analysis while conducting macroeconomic commentary. He has been published by The Financial Times, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Telegraph, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Sky News, Bloomberg, CNBC and BBC. Craig holds a full membership to the Society of Technical Analysts and he is recognized as a Certified Financial Technician by the International Federation of Technical Analysts.