European update – Equities back in the green

Equities quickly bounce back

It didn’t take long for investors to buy the dip, with equity markets back in the green on Thursday following a two day pause which appeared to be nothing more than soft profit taking.

Source – Thomson Reuters Eikon

The rebound even follows a brief dip in US futures overnight, which came very suddenly and appeared to be triggered by very little, but those losses were gradually recouped over the following hours. The US inflation data on Wednesday didn’t do the markets any harm, with the slight dip only adding to the case for rate cuts this year, although it wasn’t quite significant enough to dramatically alter people’s views.

The odds have slightly moved in favour of a third rate hike by the end of the year – although no hike this month – but this has been something of a coin toss for a while with the pendulum swinging back and forth between two and three. Ultimately, the meeting – assuming it takes place – between Trump and Xi later this month will highly influence how aggressive the Fed will be, which is probably largely why the central bank is expected to hold this month.

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Former Craig

Former Craig

Former Senior Market Analyst, UK & EMEA at OANDA
Based in London, Craig Erlam joined OANDA in 2015 as a market analyst. With many years of experience as a financial market analyst and trader, he focuses on both fundamental and technical analysis while producing macroeconomic commentary. His views have been published in the Financial Times, Reuters, The Telegraph and the International Business Times, and he also appears as a regular guest commentator on the BBC, Bloomberg TV, FOX Business and SKY News. Craig holds a full membership to the Society of Technical Analysts and is recognised as a Certified Financial Technician by the International Federation of Technical Analysts.