Streaking FTSE hits 6-week high as trade tensions ease over Mexico, China

The FTSE continues to move higher. Currently, the index is trading at 7,396, up 0.29% on the day. On the release front, British employment numbers were mixed. Unemployment rolls dropped slightly to 23.2 thousand, but this was much higher than the estimate of 12.3 thousand. Wage growth slowed to 3.1%, down from 3.2% a month earlier. Still, this beat the estimate of 2.9%. In the U.S., producer price index reports matched their estimates. PPI dipped 0.1%, down from 0.2% a month earlier. Core PPI edged up 0.2%, up from 0.1% in the previous release. On Wednesday, the U.S. releases consumer inflation reports.

There were fears that President Trump would slap Mexico with new tariffs, opening up another trade war front. The tariffs were set to take effect on Monday, but the U.S. suspended the tariffs, after talks between U.S. and Mexico helped defuse the latest crisis. Although the U.S. has said that the tariffs could be imposed if the illegal immigration crisis continues, investors are pleased that Trump has backtracked. There are also hopes that the bitter trade dispute between the U.S. and China will ease. At a G-20 meeting, finance ministers agreed on a joint communique to reduce trade tensions. There are hopes that progress towards a trade agreement will be made before President Trump and President Xi of China meet at the G-20 summit in Japan in late June. Risk appetite has improved, and the FTSE has gained 3.4% in June, recovering most of the losses seen in May.

Green Across the Board as Trade Optimism Brews and Trump attacks Fed

GBP/USD – Buoyed by UK jobs data

Economic Calendar

Tuesday (June 11)

  • 4:30 British Average Earnings Index. Estimate 2.9%. Actual 3.1%
  • 4:30 British Claimant Count Change. Estimate 12.3K. Actual 23.2K
  • 4:30 British Unemployment Rate. Estimate 3.8%. Actual 3.8%
  • 5:16 US NFIB Small Business Index. Estimate 102.3. Actual 105.0
  • 8:30 US Core PPI. Estimate 0.2%. Actual 0.2%
  • 8:30 US PPI. Estimate 0.1%. Actual 0.1%
  • 10:00 US IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism. Estimate 59.2. Actual 53.2

Wednesday (June 12)

  • 8:30 US CPI. Estimate 0.1%
  • 8:30 US Core CPI. Estimate 0.2%

*All release times are DST

*Key events are in bold

FTSE, Tuesday, June 11 at 11:50 DST

Previous Close: 7,375 Open: 7,396 High: 7,421 Low: 7,396 Close: 7,396

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Kenny Fisher

Kenny Fisher

Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Kenny Fisher joined OANDA in 2012 as a Currency Analyst. Kenny writes a daily column about current economic and political developments affecting the major currency pairs, with a focus on fundamental analysis. Kenny began his career in forex at Bendix Foreign Exchange in Toronto, where he worked as a Corporate Account Manager for over seven years.