Society Generale Says US-China Tariffs to Have 0.15% Impact on Global Growth

The latest U.S. and Chinese round of planned tariffs on each other’s imports may reduce global economic growth by 0.15% and lower China’s gross domestic product by 0.5% and U.S. GDP by 0.25%, Societe Generale’s U.S. chief economist said on Monday.

“If the U.S. levies tariffs on all Chinese goods, and China retaliates, these losses could easily double. Confidence effects and financial market reactions also leave the balance of risks tilted to the downside,” Stephen Gallagher, the French bank’s U.S. chief economist, wrote in a research note.

via Reuters

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Alfonso Esparza

Alfonso Esparza

Senior Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Alfonso Esparza specializes in macro forex strategies for North American and major currency pairs. Upon joining OANDA in 2007, Alfonso Esparza established the MarketPulseFX blog and he has since written extensively about central banks and global economic and political trends. Alfonso has also worked as a professional currency trader focused on North America and emerging markets. He has been published by The MarketWatch, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Globe and Mail, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Bloomberg and BNN. He holds a finance degree from the Monterrey Institute of Technology and Higher Education (ITESM) and an MBA with a specialization on financial engineering and marketing from the University of Toronto.
Alfonso Esparza