Gold – Lost its Shine?

How bearish is the recent breakout?

An interesting move in gold on Tuesday as it broke below $1,280 in what could be a very bearish development for the yellow metal.

This has long been a key level of support for gold and some weakness in the dollar this morning isn’t reviving it. That has been the case for some time that a rising dollar has an outsized impact on gold prices compared to when it declines, a key insight into sentiment towards it.

Gold Daily Chart

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With price having finally broken below $1,280, a more significant decline could be on the cards. As yet, we haven’t moved back above $1280 – in fact, it rebounded off this level early in European hours – which suggests this is no false breakout.

Gold 4-Hour Chart

That could bring $1,260 into focus as the next notable support, with $1,250 and $1,240 of interest below that. How large a decline we see isn’t yet clear, which makes the momentum indicators interesting as we approach notable support zones.

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Craig Erlam

Craig Erlam

Senior Currency Analyst at OANDA
Based in London, England, Craig Erlam joined OANDA in 2015 as a Market Analyst. With more than five years' experience as a financial market analyst and trader, he focuses on both fundamental and technical analysis while conducting macroeconomic commentary. He has been published by The Financial Times, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Telegraph, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Sky News, Bloomberg, CNBC and BBC. Craig holds a full membership to the Society of Technical Analysts and he is recognized as a Certified Financial Technician by the International Federation of Technical Analysts.