DAX posts gains ahead of ECB rate announcement

The DAX index continues to show volatility this week. After sharp losses on Tuesday, the DAX has reversed directions on Wednesday. Currently, the DAX is at 11,902, up 0.44% on the day. In economic news, there are no German or eurozone events on the schedule. On Wednesday, the ECB will set its monthly interest rate and release a policy statement. On Thursday, Germany posts consumer inflation and investors will also be keeping an eye on the OPEC meetings in Vienna.

With the economic outlook in the eurozone looking bleak, will the ECB send a gloomy message to the markets? The ECB is expected to maintain interest rates at a flat 0.00%, where they have been pegged since March of 2016. Investors will be more focused in the rate statement, as a dovish message to the markets could push the euro lower. ECB policymakers have acknowledged the slowdown which has gripped Germany and the eurozone. The manufacturing sector has been particularly hard hit, as a slump in global demand has hurt exports, such as German cars and auto parts. Last week, the ECB minutes from the March meeting were pessimistic, as policymakers acknowledged that the economic outlook remained bleak. If the rate statement and comments from Mario Draghi disappoint investors, the DAX could lose ground.

On Wednesday, investors will be keeping a close look at Federal Reserve, which releases the minutes of the March meeting. At the meeting, the Fed said it would start tapering the reduction of its balance sheet in May. This marks a loosening of policy, and comes in response to weaker economic data out of the U.S. in recent months. The minutes should be treated as a market-mover, and if the minutes are dovish, investors could become sour on the U.S. dollar.

Global growth downgrade hits sentiment

Economic Calendar

Wednesday (April 10)

  • 7:45 ECB Main Refinancing Rate. Estimate 0.00%
  • 7:45 ECB Monetary Policy Statement
  • 8:30 ECB Press Conference

Thursday (April 11)

  • 2:00 German Final CPI. Estimate 0.4%
  • All Day – OPEC Meetings

*All release times are DST

*Key events are in bold

DAX, Wednesday, April 10 at 6:50 EST

Previous Close: 11,850 Open: 11,869 Low: 11,864 High: 11,912 Close: 11,902

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Kenny Fisher

Kenny Fisher

Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Kenny Fisher joined OANDA in 2012 as a Currency Analyst. Kenny writes a daily column about current economic and political developments affecting the major currency pairs, with a focus on fundamental analysis. Kenny began his career in forex at Bendix Foreign Exchange in Toronto, where he worked as a Corporate Account Manager for over seven years.