Daily Markets Broadcast 2019-02-28

Daily Markets Broadcast

2019-02-28

Wall Street slumbers with lack of trade talk progress

Wall Street ended mixed yesterday, rebounding from intra-day lows for a nondescript close. US top trade negotiator said China buying more US goods is not enough, need to see structural changes. China’s PMI readings fall in February.

US30USD Daily Chart

Source: OANDA fxTrade

  • The US30 index rebounded from weekly lows yesterday to close almost flat. US trade negotiator said China not doing enough in trade talks, need to see changes with regard to intellectual property and technology transfer
  • Resistance at the November high of 26,249 remains intact as the slow stochastics momentum indicator edges lower. Support may be found at the 200-day moving average at 25,096
  • US releases delayed data for Q4 GDP growth today. Estimates suggest a slowdown to +2.3% y/y from +3.4% in Q3.

DE30EUR Daily Chart

Source: OANDA fxTrade

  • The Germany30 index snapped a three-day winning streak yesterday, falling by the most in two weeks, as M3 money supply growth missed estimates in December
  • The index is struggling to overcome the December high at 11,571. Trendline support may be found near the 11,298 level
  • Slowing growth in the money supply is raising concerns that a lack of availability of credit could exacerbate the current economic slowdown. There are no data releases of note today.

CN50USD Monthly Chart

Source: OANDA fxTrade

  • The China50 index continues to consolidate Monday’s strong rally and closed 2.3% below that day’s peak yesterday
  • The index is sitting at the 50% retracement level of the drop from January 2018 to January 2019, and looks on track to post the second monthly advance in a row
  • China’s official manufacturing PMI data weakened in February, falling to 49.2 from 49.5. Surveys had expected an unchanged reading. That’s the third straight month below the expansion/contraction threshold of 50. The non-manufacturing PMI eased to 54.3 from 54.7, also below forecast.

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Andrew Robinson

Andrew Robinson

Senior Market Analyst at MarketPulse
A seasoned professional with more than 30 years’ experience in foreign exchange, interest rates and commodities, Andrew Robinson is a senior market analyst with OANDA, responsible for providing timely and relevant market commentary and live market analysis throughout the Asia-Pacific region. Having previously worked in Europe, since moving to Singapore he worked with several leading institutions including Bloomberg, Saxo Capital Markets and Informa Global Markets, proving FX strategies based on a combination of technical and fundamental analysis as well as market flow information. Andrew began his career as an FX dealer with NatWest and the Royal Bank of Scotland in the UK.