Could OPEC even deliver near term barrels ??


Crude prices continued to climb early on on the expected impact of U.S. sanctions on Iranian oil exports and suggestions from OPEC and other producers that they aren’t in a rush to increase production to offset the hit to supply. Brent crude was up nearly 1 per cent in the predawn hours. Earlier, Brent hit US$82.20, its best level since November 2014. The day range on Brent so far is US$81.17 to US$82.20. West Texas Intermediate was also higher at last check, sitting in the upper half of the day range of US$72.02 to US$72.66.

“While the sentiment is securely buttressed by Iran sanction, the question we have is not so much the case of whether OPEC and Non-OPEC are not offering up a concession to counter the expected supply drop from Iran sanctions,” OANDA Head of Trading Asia  Stephen Innes said. “But even if they wanted to ramp up production, could they physically deliver near-term supplies to tame this raging oil bull?”

“If OPEC is physically unable to ramp up production, then Oil prices do indeed have much further to run as this will be viewed as an extremely bullish signal for near-term prices.”

The Globe and Mail

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Stephen Innes

Stephen Innes

Head of Trading APAC at OANDA
Stephen has over 25 years of experience in the financial markets and currently based in Singapore as the Head of Trading Asia Pacific with OANDA. Stephen's market views focus on the movement of G-10 and ASEAN Currencies. His views appear in Bloomberg, CNBC.Reuters, New York Times WSJ and the Economist. His media appearances include Bloomberg TV & Radio, BBC International, Sky TV, Channel News Asia, ASTRO AWANI and BFM Malaysia. Stephen has an extensive trading experience in Spot and Forward FX, Currency and Interest Rate Futures, Money Market Derivatives and Precious Metals. Before joining OANDA, he worked with organisations like Nat West, Chemical Bank, Garvin Guy Butler, and Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation. Stephen was born in Glasgow, Scotland, and holds a Degree in Economics from the University of Western Ontario.
Stephen Innes