DAX rally continues as investors ignore tariff war

The DAX index has posted strong gains in the Friday session. Currently, the index is at 12,393, up 0.54% on the day. On the release front, German and eurozone manufacturing PMIs disappointed, missing their estimates.

It’s been a good week for the DAX, which has jumped 2.9 percent. Earlier on Friday, the DAX touched 12,458 points, a high for September. Clearly, risk appetite remains strong, despite the U.S and China exchanging another round of tariffs this week. On Monday, U.S President Trump announced 10% tariffs on some $200 billion worth of Chinese goods. China quickly responded, slapping 10% tariffs on $60 billion in US exports. These tit-for-tit tariffs have become a familiar script, only this time investors haven’t panicked and snapped up U.S dollars. Investors are somewhat relieved that the tariffs are just 10%, and China is taking measures to reduce the effect of the tariffs on its economy, including increasing stimulus and infrastructure spending. Global growth remains strong, despite the tariff spat. Although China has threatened to cancel upcoming trade talks with the U.S in protest of the recent tariff decision, investors are in an optimistic mood.

German and eurozone manufacturing PMIs were soft in September. The German indicator dropped sharply, from 56.1 to 53.7, missing the estimate of 55.7 points. This marked the weakest reading since August 2016. It was a similar story from eurozone manufacturing PMI, which fell from 54.6 to 53.3, the lowest level since October 2016. This marked the ninth straight month that the indicator has weakened – in December 2016, the indicator stood at 60.6 points. There was better news from services PMIs. German Flash Final Services PMI rose to 56.5, above the estimate of 55.1 points. The eurozone release improved to 54.7, above the estimate of 54.5 points.

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Economic Calendar

  • 3:30 German Flash Manufacturing PMI. Estimate 55.7. Actual 53.7
  • 3:30 German Flash Services PMI. Estimate 55.1. Actual 56.5
  • 4:00 Eurozone Flash Manufacturing PMI. Estimate 54.4. Actual 53.3
  • 4:00 Eurozone Flash Services PMI. Estimate 54.5. Actual 54.7

*All release times are DST

*Key events are in bold

 

DAX, Friday, September 21 at 7:10 DST

Previous Close: 12,326 Open: 12,396 Low: 12,382 High: 12,460 Close: 12,393

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Kenny Fisher

Kenny Fisher

Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Kenny Fisher joined OANDA in 2012 as a Currency Analyst. Kenny writes a daily column about current economic and political developments affecting the major currency pairs, with a focus on fundamental analysis. Kenny began his career in forex at Bendix Foreign Exchange in Toronto, where he worked as a Corporate Account Manager for over seven years.