The DAX index has lost ground in the Wednesday session. Currently, the DAX is at 12,627, down 0.50% on the day. On the release front, German Ifo Business Climate ticked lower to 101.7, just above the estimate of 101.6 points. On Thursday, Germany releases GfK Consumer Climate and the ECB will set its minimum bid rate.
Tit-for-tat tariffs between the U.S and the EU has seen the trade relationship between them reach a low point. More tariffs could be coming, as the EU has vowed to impose $20 billion in tariffs on U.S products if the Trump administration slaps $50 billion on European goods. Will the nasty trade war worsen or will the sides pull back? There could be important developments on Wednesday, as an EU delegation led by European Commission President John-Claude Juckner meets with President Trump at the White House on Wednesday. If the sides can make progress on car tariffs, automaker shares could jump and boost the DAX.
With the global tariff war threatening to hurt German and eurozone exports, investors have been keeping a close eye on manufacturing data. There was positive news on Tuesday, as Eurozone and German manufacturing PMIs continue to point to expansion. The German release improved to 57.3, easily beating the estimate of 55.5, while the eurozone reading of 55.1 was above the forecast of 54.7. Both indicators had dropped over six consecutive months and the July releases put an end to that nasty streak. Services PMIs were not as strong, as the German and eurozone releases missed their estimates.
Wednesday (July 25)
- 4:00 German Ifo Business Climate. Estimate 101.6. Actual 101.7
- 4:00 Eurozone Money Supply. Estimate 4.0%. Actual 4.4%
- 4:00 Eurozone Private Loans. Estimate 3.0%. Actual 2.9%
Thursday (July 26)
- 2:00 German GfK Consumer Climate. Estimate 10.7
- 7:45 ECB Main Refinancing Rate. Estimate 0.00%
- 8:30 ECB Press Conference
*All release times are DST
*Key events are in bold
DAX, Wednesday, July 25 at 6:55 DST
Previous Close: 12,689 Open: 12,678 Low: 12,623 High: 12,693 Close: 12,627
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