Yuan’s fall extends to a fourth straight day

PBOC weakens yuan by most in two years at daily fix

China’s central bank weakened the yuan by the biggest single daily devaluation since June 2016. While the direction of spot USD/CNH could in some way be attributed to the rampant US dollar, there is some conjecture in the market that the devaluation is part of a plan to combat the effect of the imposition of US tariffs on Chinese goods. Trump seems not impressed and continues to blast Chinese officials for “not doing enough”.

The offshore yuan has tumbled as much as 3% versus the US dollar,so far this month, and is down almost 10% since March. USD/CNH is now trading at 6.81510 after touching the highest level in just over a year.

USD/CNH Monthly Chart

Source: Oanda fxTrade

Trump criticizes Fed’s hawkish rate policy

For the first time in two decades a US President broke with tradition and openly criticized the country’s central bank.  Trump said he was concerned about the potential impact on the US economy of rising rates and a surging dollar. Though, whilst saying he was not thrilled, he did say” I’m letting them do what they feel is best”. His comments pushed the US dollar and US yields lower, though there wasn’t much follow through during today’s Asian session.

Dollar Falls After Trump Disagrees with Fed Policy

Japan inflation nowhere near BOJ’s target

This morning’s release of Japan inflation numbers for June came in below estimate, rising 0.7% y/y, the same rate as in May, versus forecasts of a 0.8% increase. In recent months there has been some debate whether the 2% target set by the BOJ is realistic in the current environment. According to results of a Reuters corporate survey published today, two-thirds of respondents reckon inflation between 0% and 1% is “appropriate” while 27% deemed the 2% inflation target as simply unreachable. Watch out for more BOJ deliberations on this topic.

Japan CPI Data for June

Source: MarketPulse

Data in the headlights

It’s a slow data session to close of the week with the only major releases the Euro-zone current account balance for May and for the UK Public Sector Borrowing and the NIESR’s 3-month rolling GDP estimate. The North American calendar is populated with Canada’s retail sales for May and inflation data for June.

The full MarketPulse data calendar is available here: https://www.marketpulse.com/economic-events/

 

 

‘Footy’ dented U.K retail sales and pounds sterling

3d illustration of the battered British pound after the Brexit 2016

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Andrew Robinson

Andrew Robinson

Senior Market Analyst at MarketPulse
A seasoned professional with more than 30 years’ experience in foreign exchange, interest rates and commodities, Andrew Robinson is a senior market analyst with OANDA, responsible for providing timely and relevant market commentary and live market analysis throughout the Asia-Pacific region. Having previously worked in Europe, since moving to Singapore he worked with several leading institutions including Bloomberg, Saxo Capital Markets and Informa Global Markets, proving FX strategies based on a combination of technical and fundamental analysis as well as market flow information. Andrew began his career as an FX dealer with NatWest and the Royal Bank of Scotland in the UK.