GBP/USD – Pound Continues to Gains Ground

The British pound has posted gains to start off the week. In Monday’s North American trade, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3852, up 0.37% on the day. In economic news, British Services PMI improved to 54.5, above the estimate of 53.3 points. In the US, the ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI slowed to 59.5, but managed to beat the estimate of 58.9 points.

The pound has started the week with gains, despite growing concerns over tensions between London and Brussels over Brexit. On Friday, Prime Minister May outlined her vision of relations between the EU and Britain after Brexit. May sought to lower the recent sharp rhetoric surrounding Brexit, saying that both sides needed to show flexibility in order to reach an agreement. May said that she was seeking a free trade agreement with the EU that included financial services. The response from Brussels has been lukewarm, with some policymakers saying that Britain continues to operate under the illusion that it can leave the club but still enjoy the benefits. Last week, there were sharp exchanges between the two sides after the EU releases a draft of  the legal framework of the Brexit agreement.

The US dollar was broadly lower last week, after President Trump sent shock waves through the markets when he announced stiff tariffs on steel and aluminum, in order to protect domestic producers. Under the new scheme, foreign steel will be taxed at 25% and aluminum at 10%. The response to the move was overwhelmingly negative, both abroad and in the US. China and the EU immediately denounced the move. US auto makers and oil and gas producers also condemned the tariffs, saying they could get caught in the middle of a nasty trade war if other countries retaliate. In imposing the tariffs, Trump relied on a provision which allows such measures for national security, but clearly, US trading partners will not quietly accept these protectionist measures.

GBP/USD Fundamentals

Monday (March 5)

  • 4:30 British Services PMI. Estimate 53.3. Actual 54.5
  • 9:45 US Final Services PMI. Estimate 55.9
  • 10:00 US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI. Estimate 58.9. Actual 
  • 13:15 US FOMC Member Randal Quarles Speaks

*All release times are GMT

*Key events are in bold

GBP/USD for Monday, March 5, 2018

GBP/USD March 5 at 12:45 EDT

Open: 1.3801 High: 1.3878 Low: 1.3767 Close: 1.3852

GBP/USD Technical

S1 S2 S1 R1 R2 R3
1.3613 1.3744 1.3809 1.3901 1.4010 1.4128

GBP/USD was flat in the Asian session. The pair inched higher in European trade and has posted stronger gains in North American trade.

  • 1.3809 is providing support
  • 1.3901 is the next resistance line

Current range: 1.3809 to 1.3901

Further levels in both directions:

  • Below: 1.3809, 1.3744, 1.3613  and 1.3480
  • Above: 1.3901, 1.4010 and 1.4128

OANDA’s Open Positions Ratio

In the Monday session, GBP/USD ratio is evenly spit between short and long positions. This is indicative of a lack of trader bias as to what direction the pair will take next.

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Kenny Fisher

Kenny Fisher

Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Kenny Fisher joined OANDA in 2012 as a Currency Analyst. Kenny writes a daily column about current economic and political developments affecting the major currency pairs, with a focus on fundamental analysis. Kenny began his career in forex at Bendix Foreign Exchange in Toronto, where he worked as a Corporate Account Manager for over seven years.