TransCanada Wishes It Was 24 Hours From Tulsa, Not South Dakota

TransCanada’s Keystone pipeline problems have squeezed supplies and upset South Dakota, sending West Texas Intermediate (WTI) gushing higher ahead of the Thanksgiving holiday.

Crude oil traders enjoyed a frisky session overnight in what will effectively be the end of the week for the U.S. as it heads into the Thanksgiving break. Brent Crude enjoyed a 0.80% gain to very near its highs at 63.40. However, it was WTI that was the star of the show, climbing 1.30% to 57.75, two-year highs.

The U.S. DOE Crude Inventories marked a slightly larger than expected drawdown of -1.9 million barrels, but it was the South Dakota Public Utilities Commission that spooked traders. The regulator has threatened to revoke TransCanada Corps permit to operate the 600,000 barrel per day Keystone Pipeline if the leak was found to be due to negligence. The regulator’s language sounded quite militant and with the pipeline already closed for repairs and “forensic examination,” trader needed no further excuses to buy WTI.

We would expect trading to be muted in Asia and Europe today and to mostly move on short-term headline for the remainder of the week.

Brent crude has eased slightly by 20 cents in Asia on profit-taking. Support rests at 62.30 and the key 61.25, a multiple daily low and trendline support. Resistance continues to loom large over Brent at 64.45 and 64.85, both levels being daily double tops.

Brent Crude Daily

WTI is unchanged at 57.75 with support at 56.70 and then the impressive trendline support, today at 56.00. We would expect some profit taking at 58.00 and 59.00 but chart-wise, the path is now clear for a march to 61.00.

WTI Daily

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Jeffrey Halley

Jeffrey Halley

Senior Market Analyst, Asia Pacific, from 2016 to August 2022
With more than 30 years of FX experience – from spot/margin trading and NDFs through to currency options and futures – Jeffrey Halley was OANDA’s Senior Market Analyst for Asia Pacific, responsible for providing timely and relevant macro analysis covering a wide range of asset classes. He has previously worked with leading institutions such as Saxo Capital Markets, DynexCorp Currency Portfolio Management, IG, IFX, Fimat Internationale Banque, HSBC and Barclays. A highly sought-after analyst, Jeffrey has appeared on a wide range of global news channels including Bloomberg, BBC, Reuters, CNBC, MSN, Sky TV and Channel News Asia as well as in leading print publications such as The New York Times and The Wall Street Journal, among others. He was born in New Zealand and holds an MBA from the Cass Business School.
Jeffrey Halley
Jeffrey Halley

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