BoC Hikes Rates, Flatfoots the Market

BoC flat footed the market and hiked +25 bps to +1% on stronger growth data.

Canadian Q2 data warranted the removal of “considerable” stimulus from the economy.

This marked the second consecutive meeting that the BoC has increased its main interest rate, after being on hold for seven years.

The market had expected Governor Poloz to leave its policy rate unchanged, while signalling gradual rises over the coming quarters. Recent indicators, such as Q2 GDP rose by a whopping​ ​​+​4.5% annualized rate in the April-to-June period, support “the bank’s view that growth in Canada is becoming more broadly-based and self-sustaining​.”​

The loonie quickly printed a new two-year high (C$1,2140) outright following the surprise rate hike.

The chance of a rate hike today was viewed as a coin toss. The BoC noted that geopolitical risks and uncertainties around international trade have led to a weaker U.S dollar, while helping to appreciate the Canadian dollar.

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Dean Popplewell

Dean Popplewell

Vice-President of Market Analysis at MarketPulse
Dean Popplewell has nearly two decades of experience trading currencies and fixed income instruments. He has a deep understanding of market fundamentals and the impact of global events on capital markets. He is respected among professional traders for his skilled analysis and career history as global head of trading for firms such as Scotia Capital and BMO Nesbitt Burns. Since joining OANDA in 2006, Dean has played an instrumental role in driving awareness of the forex market as an emerging asset class for retail investors, as well as providing expert counsel to a number of internal teams on how to best serve clients and industry stakeholders.
Dean Popplewell