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GBP/USD – Pound Steady as Inflation Jumps to 3-Year High

GBP/USD is showing limited movement in the Tuesday session. In North American trade, GBP/USD is trading just above the 1.29 level. On the release front, CPI jumped to 2.7%, edging above the estimate of 2.6%. In the US, construction numbers disappointed, as both Building Permits and Housing Starts were weaker than expected. On Wednesday, the UK will release wage growth and unemployment rolls.

CPI, the primary gauge of consumer inflation, continued to move upwards, posting a sharp gain of 2.7% in April, matching the BoE forecast for inflation in the first quarter. This reading marked the strongest gain in CPI since September 2013. The pound briefly responded with gains, as speculation has increased that the Bank of England may raise interest rates to keep inflation under control. The weak pound has contributed to higher inflation, which has hurt wage growth and caused consumers to scale back on spending. The BoE has warned that living standards are set to drop, and the markets will be keeping a close eye on the wage growth release on Wednesday, which is expected to edge up to 2.4%.

President Trump has been pressing the damage control button since last week, as the White House and Congress remain focused on the fallout from Trump’s dismissal of FBI director James Comey. There was more bad news for President Trump on Tuesday, with a report in the Washington Post that Trump had shared confidential intelligence reports with Russia’s foreign minister at a meeting last week. The White House has denied the report, but the timing is particularly bad for Trump, who is already under investigation for possible Russian involvement in the presidential campaign. The markets are concerned that Trump will be so busy trying to put out political firestorms, that his agenda of increased fiscal spending and tax reform will stall. These jitters could hurt investor confidence and send the US dollar downwards.

GBP Dips as Inflation Hits Near-Four Year High [1]

GBP/USD Fundamentals

Tuesday (May 16)

*All release times are EDT

*Key events are in bold

 

GBP/USD for Tuesday, May 16, 2017

GBP/USD May 16 at 12:00 EDT

Open: 1.2894 High: 1.2957 Low: 1.2865 Close: 1.2910

 

GBP/USD Technical

S1 S2 S1 R1 R2 R3
1.2571 1.2706 1.2865 1.2946 1.3058 1.3121

Further levels in both directions:

OANDA’s Open Positions Ratio

GBP/USD ratio is showing little movement this week. Currently, short positions have a majority (61%), indicative of trader bias towards GBP/USD reversing directions and moving to lower ground.

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Kenny Fisher

Kenny Fisher [5]

Market Analyst at OANDA [6]
A highly experienced financial market analyst with a focus on fundamental analysis, Kenneth Fisher’s daily commentary covers a broad range of markets including forex, equities and commodities. His work has been published in several major online financial publications including Investing.com, Seeking Alpha and FXStreet. Based in Israel, Kenny has been a MarketPulse contributor since 2012.
Kenny Fisher

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