Canada: New Housing Price Index, February 2017

The New Housing Price Index (NHPI) rose 0.4% in February compared with the previous month. Ontario accounted for the majority of the gain, as new house prices increased in all 10 of its surveyed metropolitan areas.

New Housing Price Index, monthly change

New house prices were up in 16 of the 27 metropolitan areas surveyed, with the largest increases observed in Guelph (+1.4%) and Oshawa (+1.2%). Builders in Guelph tied the increases to higher construction costs, a shortage of developed land, and improving market conditions. In Oshawa, builders cited improving market conditions as the primary reason for the rise.

Toronto was the top contributor to the national gain, with prices up 1.0%. Builders reported moving to new phases of land development, a shortage of developed land and improving market conditions as the main reasons for the rise.

Other notable increases (+1.0%) were observed in Hamilton and Victoria. Builders in both areas reported market conditions as the primary reason for the increase. For Hamilton, this was the largest price gain observed since July 2009.

New housing prices fell 0.2% in Calgary. Although some builders reported higher construction costs, these were offset by lower negotiated selling prices and promotions to stimulate sales. Prices in Vancouver were down 0.1% for the second month in a row.

Housing prices for eight metropolitan areas were unchanged.

New Housing Price Index, 12-month change

On the strength of price increases for new houses in Toronto, the NHPI rose 3.3% over the 12-month period ending in February. This was the largest annual growth at the national level since June 2010.

Toronto recorded an 8.6% year-over-year price increase, the largest among the metropolitan areas surveyed, followed by Victoria (+6.3%), St. Catharines-Niagara (+6.2%), and Windsor (+6.2%). The gain for Windsor was the largest reported since January 1990.

Six metropolitan areas recorded year-over-year price declines in February. Continued weakness in new home prices in Alberta and Saskatchewan accounted for four of the six 12-month declines.


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Dean Popplewell

Dean Popplewell

Vice-President of Market Analysis at MarketPulse
Dean Popplewell has nearly two decades of experience trading currencies and fixed income instruments. He has a deep understanding of market fundamentals and the impact of global events on capital markets. He is respected among professional traders for his skilled analysis and career history as global head of trading for firms such as Scotia Capital and BMO Nesbitt Burns. Since joining OANDA in 2006, Dean has played an instrumental role in driving awareness of the forex market as an emerging asset class for retail investors, as well as providing expert counsel to a number of internal teams on how to best serve clients and industry stakeholders.
Dean Popplewell