DAX Steady as German Business Climate Climbs

The DAX Index has edged upwards on Monday, as the DAX trades at 11,963.25. On the release front, German Ifo Business Climate climbed to 112.3, above the forecast of 111.2 points. In the eurozone, M3 Money Supply dipped to 4.7%, short of the forecast of 4.9%. Private Loans edged up to 2.3%, matching the forecast.

The week has started on a positive note in the eurozone. German Ifo Business Climate rose to 112. 3 points, its highest level since July 2011. The release underscores high optimism in the business sector, despite rumblings of protectionism from the US and the uncertainty over Brexit. Germany, the largest economy in Europe, continues to post strong numbers, which has been good news for the eurozone economy. Last week’s PMIs pointed to expansion in the manufacturing and service sectors. German and eurozone Manufacturing PMIs  both beat their estimates and hit their highest levels since 2011. The markets are keeping a close eye on Germany, which later this week releases CPI, retail sales and unemployment claims. One soft spot in the economy, however, is consumer confidence. GfK German Consumer Climate lost ground for a second straight month, as the indicator dropped to 9.8 in March, its lowest level since November 2016. Eurozone Consumer Confidence remains weak, as the indicator posted a decline of -5 in March, almost unchanged from a month earlier. These soft numbers are largely a result of higher inflation, as consumers are concerned about their reduced purchasing power.

Global stock markets enjoyed a strong bull run after Donald Trump’s election last November. However, the euphoria over President Trump’s upset election win is long past. The inquiry into the Trump administration’s links with Russia continues to make headlines, and is another cause for concern for nervous investors. Trump has been in office for over two months, but he has yet to provide any details over even an outline of economic policy. Last week, Trump’s proposed bill to change Obamacare was not even voted on, as the White House could not garner enough support to pass the bill. This debacle will only increase market uneasiness over Trump, and could send the DAX lower.

Economic Calendar

Monday (March 27)

• 8:00 German Ifo Business Climate. Estimate 111.2. Actual 112.3
• 8:00 Eurozone M3 Money Supply. Estimate 4.9%. Actual 4.7%
• 8:00 Eurozone Private Loans. Estimate 2.3%. Actual 2.3%

*All release times are EST

*Key events are in bold

DAX for Monday, March 27, 2017

DAX, March 27 at 6:40 EST

Open: 11,950.50 High: 11,988.50 Low: 11,933.50 Close: 11,963.25

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