A Dollar story not a Yuan story

US stock indexes posted their largest drop on Tuesday since the November election of US President Donald Trump with investors concerned about the ability of the new administration to implement its pro-business policy agenda.

Overnight, the dollar index slid below 100 for the first time since early February, extending a downtrend that began last week when the Federal Reserve disappointed some investors by signalling no pick-up in the pace of interest rate rises. The index was flat at 99.817 as of 12:40pm.

The offshore yuan in Hong Kong was stronger by 0.06 per cent, or 44 basis points, to 6.8679 against the greenback at 12:40pm, while the onshore yuan in Shanghai inched up 0.08 per cent, or 55 basis points, to 6.8819.

Stephen Innes, senior trader at OANDA, said the market had begun to question the ability of the Trump administration to pass tax and spending reforms amid doubts a new healthcare bill will receive the votes needed to pass through Congress on Thursday.

“A lot of our theories behind a weaker yuan was based on the US dollar story,” Innes said. “If the US dollar story continues  to slide  there will be more appeal to the mainland market and it should support the Yuan”

The South China Morning Post

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Stephen Innes

Stephen Innes

Head of Trading APAC at OANDA
Stephen has over 25 years of experience in the financial markets and currently based in Singapore as the Head of Trading Asia Pacific with OANDA. Stephen's market views focus on the movement of G-10 and ASEAN Currencies. His views appear in Bloomberg, CNBC.Reuters, New York Times WSJ and the Economist. His media appearances include Bloomberg TV & Radio, BBC International, Sky TV, Channel News Asia, ASTRO AWANI and BFM Malaysia. Stephen has an extensive trading experience in Spot and Forward FX, Currency and Interest Rate Futures, Money Market Derivatives and Precious Metals. Before joining OANDA, he worked with organisations like Nat West, Chemical Bank, Garvin Guy Butler, and Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation. Stephen was born in Glasgow, Scotland, and holds a Degree in Economics from the University of Western Ontario.
Stephen Innes