Australian Dollar Slides in Early APAC Trade

he Australian dollar slipped for a third session on Monday after repeatedly failing to break above key chart resistance at 77 US cents, with focus shifting to a slew of data and central bank events this week.

The Australian dollar was 0.18-per cent lower at US$0.7660, but remained near a 3-1/2 month high of US$0.7732 touched last week.

The Aussie has flirted with the 77 US cents mark for most of February and finally breached it twice last week only for those gains to fizzle away.

The currency is up 6.6 per cent so far this year, led by a massive rally in the price of iron ore – Australia’s No1 export earner – and a weakening US dollar. “The current ‘death valley’ at US$0.7700-US$0.7750 remains intact, suggesting that investors continue to grow cautious of not only the long Aussie position overhang, but also the sustainability of iron ore prices,” said Stephen Innes, senior FX trader for broker OANDA.

Traders expect Lowe to stick to his optimistic tune, given a run of positive data lately. “I think the tail risk would be for a more hawkish lean from the RBA than the market has priced in, but at a minimum, there’s little impetus for the RBA to veer from its current neutral tack,” Mr Innes added.


This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Stephen Innes

Stephen Innes

Head of Trading APAC at OANDA
Stephen has over 25 years of experience in the financial markets and currently based in Singapore as the Head of Trading Asia Pacific with OANDA. Stephen's market views focus on the movement of G-10 and ASEAN Currencies. His views appear in Bloomberg, CNBC.Reuters, New York Times WSJ and the Economist. His media appearances include Bloomberg TV & Radio, BBC International, Sky TV, Channel News Asia, ASTRO AWANI and BFM Malaysia. Stephen has an extensive trading experience in Spot and Forward FX, Currency and Interest Rate Futures, Money Market Derivatives and Precious Metals. Before joining OANDA, he worked with organisations like Nat West, Chemical Bank, Garvin Guy Butler, and Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation. Stephen was born in Glasgow, Scotland, and holds a Degree in Economics from the University of Western Ontario.
Stephen Innes