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Kiwi Roosts Nervously on Daily Support

The New Zealand Dollar finishes the week on just above daily support.

It’s been a long week in the markets for sure, with some winners and losers. From a technical perspective, the NZD could be one of the latter. The NZD/USD is finishing the week perched just above daily support at 7010. US Yields pushing higher daily, flat to small up dairy prices, a slowing Auckland housing market and the RBNZ on hold for the foreseeable future, the Kiwi looks like it is finally losing its high yielder glow.

Politically the market also seems to be slowly pricing in the Prime Minister John Key’s resignation last week and the elevation of Bill English to the top job. This has been followed by what seems to be a minister a day standing down and intending to retire at next year’s election. Many would say, and I am one of them, that they wish more politicians would follow such a path instead of hanging around like bad smells. In this case though, one feels that the breaking up of the ten years Key/English dream team is the final straw on the camels back.

Coming back to the daily chart, I note that as Kiwi finishes the week on daily support, the RSI is still not oversold. More interestingly the fast line on the MACD (blue) has crossed the slow to the downside.

From a technical perspective, a close below 7010 could signal a move to next support at 6950. After that, the next support is a long way away at 6670. Resistance comes in at the 200-day moving average at 7070 and then 7100. Above there we have a congestion zone around 720010/30 including the 100-day moving average.

NZDUSDDaily [1]


This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Jeffrey Halley

Jeffrey Halley [5]

Senior Market Analyst, Asia Pacific
With more than 30 years of FX experience – from spot/margin trading and NDFs through to currency options and futures – Jeffrey Halley is OANDA’s senior market analyst for Asia Pacific, responsible for providing timely and relevant macro analysis covering a wide range of asset classes. He has previously worked with leading institutions such as Saxo Capital Markets, DynexCorp Currency Portfolio Management, IG, IFX, Fimat Internationale Banque, HSBC and Barclays. A highly sought-after analyst, Jeffrey has appeared on a wide range of global news channels including Bloomberg, BBC, Reuters, CNBC, MSN, Sky TV, Channel News Asia as well as in leading print publications including the New York Times and The Wall Street Journal, among others. He was born in New Zealand and holds an MBA from the Cass Business School.
Jeffrey Halley
Jeffrey Halley

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