UK-EU Trade Deal Not a 10 Year Process

The U.K. government downplayed remarks attributed to a British diplomat that it could take 10 years to negotiate a final free-trade deal with the European Union after Brexit — and that even then it could fail.

The BBC reported that Ivan Rogers, Britain’s ambassador to the EU, had said most countries in the bloc expect a final free-trade agreement would not be struck until the mid-2020s. In a private briefing for Prime Minister Theresa May’s team in October, Rogers warned that even after a decade of talks, the deal could still be scuppered by any one of the EU’s 27 other national parliaments, which would have the power to ratify or reject it, according to the BBC report on Thursday.

“The comments of Ivan Rogers are taking words from interlocutors and this does not necessarily define how long it will take to create a trade deal,” U.K. Trade Minister Mark Garnier told lawmakers in Parliament’s lower house. “It is very, very difficult to establish how long any trade deal will take.”


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Craig Erlam

Craig Erlam

Senior Market Analyst, UK & EMEA at OANDA
Based in London, Craig Erlam joined OANDA in 2015 as a market analyst. With many years of experience as a financial market analyst and trader, he focuses on both fundamental and technical analysis while producing macroeconomic commentary. His views have been published in the Financial Times, Reuters, The Telegraph and the International Business Times, and he also appears as a regular guest commentator on the BBC, Bloomberg TV, FOX Business and SKY News. Craig holds a full membership to the Society of Technical Analysts and is recognised as a Certified Financial Technician by the International Federation of Technical Analysts.
Craig Erlam