UK Inflation and Interest Rate Expectations on the Rise

Britons expect a sharp rise in inflation over the coming year following the plummet in the value of sterling after Britain’s vote to leave the European Union, and more now believe a hike in interest rates is on the way, a Bank of England survey showed.

The survey published on Friday showed average public inflation expectations over the next 12 months rose to 2.8 percent in November from 2.2 percent in the previous survey in August.

Taking a five-year view, Britons expected inflation of 3.1 percent, slightly higher than the 3.0 percent forecast of three months earlier.


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Craig Erlam

Craig Erlam

Senior Currency Analyst at OANDA
Based in London, England, Craig Erlam joined OANDA in 2015 as a Market Analyst. With more than five years' experience as a financial market analyst and trader, he focuses on both fundamental and technical analysis while conducting macroeconomic commentary. He has been published by The Financial Times, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Telegraph, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Sky News, Bloomberg, CNBC and BBC. Craig holds a full membership to the Society of Technical Analysts and he is recognized as a Certified Financial Technician by the International Federation of Technical Analysts.