How Asia Would Vote in the US Election


Across the region, economic issues were seen as more important than the management of international relations and the environment.

Seventy per cent said a Clinton presidency would be better for US trade relations with Asia than a Trump presidency.

“I think part of the reason for that sentiment could be the overriding ‘pro-protectionist’ theme of Donald Trump’s presidency,” said Stephen Innes, a senior trader at the New York-based currency trading firm Oanda.

On the flip side, Innes said a Clinton presidency had the potential to hurt Asian trade with the US as well. “A strong win for Hillary could mean her policies to boost economic growth may be brought forward,” said Innes.

“This could be done by cranking up fiscal policy which in turn would lead to a wave of US inflation,” he said. “This will give support for the US dollar, to the detriment of Asia  emerging  market capital  inflows.”

SCMP This Week in Asia

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Stephen Innes

Stephen Innes

Head of Trading APAC at OANDA
Stephen has over 25 years of experience in the financial markets and currently based in Singapore as the Head of Trading Asia Pacific with OANDA. Stephen's market views focus on the movement of G-10 and ASEAN Currencies. His views appear in Bloomberg, CNBC.Reuters, New York Times WSJ and the Economist. His media appearances include Bloomberg TV & Radio, BBC International, Sky TV, Channel News Asia, ASTRO AWANI and BFM Malaysia. Stephen has an extensive trading experience in Spot and Forward FX, Currency and Interest Rate Futures, Money Market Derivatives and Precious Metals. Before joining OANDA, he worked with organisations like Nat West, Chemical Bank, Garvin Guy Butler, and Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation. Stephen was born in Glasgow, Scotland, and holds a Degree in Economics from the University of Western Ontario.
Stephen Innes