Japanese Government Downgrades Economic Assessment

The Japanese government retained on Monday its assessment that the domestic economy is recovering moderately but adopted a weaker view on corporate sentiment due to a firming yen and Britain’s vote to leave the European Union.

The Cabinet Office said in its report for the fifth straight month that the economy is experiencing “a moderate recovery, while weakness can be seen recently,” as consumer spending continues to lack strength but income and employment conditions are improving.

Reflecting adverse effects of the yen’s appreciation that tends to reduce profits of exporters, “firms’ judgment on current business conditions shows cautiousness further,” the office said. In June, the government said business sentiment showed cautiousness.

In addition to the stronger yen, the “Brexit” vote last month also increased uncertainty for long-term prospects for companies, as Britain’s exit from the European Union could lead to postponement in capital investment in the country, a Cabinet Office official said.

The downgrade came after the government slashed its view of corporate profits due to falling commodity prices and a firmer yen, saying their improvement “appears to be pausing, although they remain at a high level.”

via Mainichi

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Alfonso Esparza

Alfonso Esparza

Senior Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Alfonso Esparza specializes in macro forex strategies for North American and major currency pairs. Upon joining OANDA in 2007, Alfonso Esparza established the MarketPulseFX blog and he has since written extensively about central banks and global economic and political trends. Alfonso has also worked as a professional currency trader focused on North America and emerging markets. He has been published by The MarketWatch, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Globe and Mail, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Bloomberg and BNN. He holds a finance degree from the Monterrey Institute of Technology and Higher Education (ITESM) and an MBA with a specialization on financial engineering and marketing from the University of Toronto.
Alfonso Esparza