Gold Lower After Stronger USD

Gold and silver futures marched lower Wednesday as the dollar found traction on rate-hike expectations and U.S. stocks gained on the back of mostly upbeat earnings results.

“Haven” gold tends to move opposite the dollar and riskier stocks, but while gold has been choppy in recent sessions as stock indexes    test records, the yellow metal remains underpinned by global growth uncertainty.

August gold  fell $16, or 1.2%, to $1,316.30 an ounce. Prices are on track to log their lowest settlement in a month, just a day after marking their highest finish in nearly a week.

“The yellow metal had a huge run in 2016, and is entering a consolidation phase,” said Nico Pantelis, head of research at Secular Investor. “This could last during the summer months, a period known as the ‘summer doldrums’ for the precious metals arena.”

“The price of gold is now on its way towards $1,300, and if this support level breaks, we will probably see $1,280 in short notice,” he said. “We don’t see gold [correcting] much further, as we see this correction as part of a move higher in [the] fall.”

Pantelis said gold could trade up to $1,400 to $1,500 an ounce.

For now, strength in the U.S. dollar contributed some pressure to gold, which is priced in the greenback. The ICE U.S. dollar index  most recently was edging modestly higher at 97.12, up less than 0.1%, but it’s up 0.4% for the week and 1.1% for the month so far.

via MarketWatch

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Alfonso Esparza

Alfonso Esparza

Senior Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Alfonso Esparza specializes in macro forex strategies for North American and major currency pairs. Upon joining OANDA in 2007, Alfonso Esparza established the MarketPulseFX blog and he has since written extensively about central banks and global economic and political trends. Alfonso has also worked as a professional currency trader focused on North America and emerging markets. He has been published by The MarketWatch, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Globe and Mail, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Bloomberg and BNN. He holds a finance degree from the Monterrey Institute of Technology and Higher Education (ITESM) and an MBA with a specialization on financial engineering and marketing from the University of Toronto.
Alfonso Esparza