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U.S Jobless Claims At 42 Year Low

Jobless claims unexpectedly decreased to the lowest level since 1973 as the U.S. labor market remains a pillar of support in the world’s largest economy.

New applications for unemployment benefits fell by 6,000 to 247,000 in the week ended April 16, data from the Labor Department showed Thursday. The median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg called for 265,000 claims. The number of Americans already on benefit rolls declined to a more than 15-year low.

Limited dismissals signal that employers are still optimistic about the U.S. demand outlook. Economists are banking on the job market to support consumer spending and help prop up economic growth after a weak first quarter.

“Overall the trend remains one of low initial claims for unemployment and is generally still indicative of a strong labor market, which should remain supportive of spending and housing activity,” Gregory Daco, head of U.S. macroeconomics at Oxford Economics Ltd., said before the report. “It’s reassuring to see that businesses are still hiring and that they’re not laying off as much.”

Economists’ estimates in the Bloomberg survey for weekly jobless claims ranged from 245,000 to 285,000. Filings, which are the lowest since the week ended Nov. 24, 1973, fell from an unrevised 253,000.

While claims were estimated for Washington, D.C., there was nothing unusual in the data, according to the Labor Department.

Four-Week Average

The four-week moving average of claims, a less volatile measure than the weekly figures, decreased to 260,500 from 265,000.

The number of people continuing to receive jobless benefits fell by 39,000 to 2.14 million in the week ended April 9, the fewest since November 2000. The unemployment rate among people eligible for benefits held at 1.6 percent. These data are reported with a one-week lag.

First-time claims have held below 300,000 — a level economists typically associate with robust labor conditions — for 59 consecutive weeks, the longest such stretch since 1973.

Initial jobless claims reflect weekly firings, and a sustained low level of applications has typically coincided with faster job gains. Layoffs can also reflect company- or industry-specific causes, such as cost-cutting or business restructuring.

Intel Corp., the world’s biggest semiconductor company, is eliminating 12,000 jobs as it looks to limit its dependence on the shrinking personal-computer market and shift focus to areas such as chips for data-center machines and Internet-connected devices.

The cuts amount to 11 percent of the company’s workforce and will be the biggest since Intel reduced staffing between 2005 and 2009, when it was responding to the global financial crisis and competition that wiped out growth.

Bloomberg [1]

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Dean Popplewell

Dean Popplewell [6]

Vice-President of Market Analysis at MarketPulse [7]
Dean Popplewell has nearly two decades of experience trading currencies and fixed income instruments. He has a deep understanding of market fundamentals and the impact of global events on capital markets. He is respected among professional traders for his skilled analysis and career history as global head of trading for firms such as Scotia Capital and BMO Nesbitt Burns. Since joining OANDA in 2006, Dean has played an instrumental role in driving awareness of the forex market as an emerging asset class for retail investors, as well as providing expert counsel to a number of internal teams on how to best serve clients and industry stakeholders.
Dean Popplewell
Dean Popplewell

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