ECB Worried About China’s Growth

Members of the bank’s 25-member governing council also debated whether current low levels of inflation in Europe could become chronic by being ingrained in wage and price agreements.

The concerns expressed in the summary of the January 21 meeting could push the council to add to its current stimulus measures when it next meets to review policy on March 10.

Europe’s economy is recovering slowly with stronger domestic demand but faces risks from a slowdown in global trade that could hurt exports.

The bank could increase the size of its 60 billion euro (£46 billion) in monthly bond purchases, a step which drives down already low borrowing costs and pumps newly-printed money into the economy.

The ECB could also cut the rate on deposits that commercial banks store with the central bank even further into negative territory, from minus 0.3 per cent.

The negative rate is an unconventional step aimed at pushing banks to lend the money rather than hoard it.

In the summary, ECB members expressed concern that “global economic growth and global trade growth were decelerating in a context of heightened volatility in global financial and commodity markets and weaker global confidence”.

“The environment had deteriorated in emerging market economies in particular,” it added.

They also debated whether current low inflation – only 0.4 per cent annually – was working its way into the setting of wages and prices by businesses and workers.

via Independent

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Alfonso Esparza

Alfonso Esparza

Senior Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Alfonso Esparza specializes in macro forex strategies for North American and major currency pairs. Upon joining OANDA in 2007, Alfonso Esparza established the MarketPulseFX blog and he has since written extensively about central banks and global economic and political trends. Alfonso has also worked as a professional currency trader focused on North America and emerging markets. He has been published by The MarketWatch, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Globe and Mail, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Bloomberg and BNN. He holds a finance degree from the Monterrey Institute of Technology and Higher Education (ITESM) and an MBA with a specialization on financial engineering and marketing from the University of Toronto.
Alfonso Esparza