Europe’s Biggest Exchange Warns `Brexit’ May Spur London Exodus

Bats Global Markets Inc., which runs U.S. and European stock markets, warned in a filing that a withdrawal by Britain from the European Union, or “Brexit,” could damage the London business climate enough to drive some or all the company’s operations out of the U.K.

U.K. Prime Minister David Cameron has pledged to hold a national referendum by the end of 2017 on whether Britain should remain in the EU. He’s seeking to renegotiate terms of membership before then and has hinted the vote may come as soon as the middle of this year.

“Should the United Kingdom vote to withdraw from the European Union, there may be an unfavorable business environment for companies with operations in the United Kingdom that do business in the European Union,” Bats, the parent company of European arm Bats Chi-X Europe, said in a Jan. 29 filing.

“In such a case, BATS Chi-X Europe may move some or all of its operations to the European Union and the related costs and expenses could have a material adverse effect on our business,” Bats said.

Bats amended its U.S. public offering filing to reflect the risk. It joins a list of businesses warning that a vote to leave the EU could drive jobs and investment out of the U.K. Hannah Randall, a spokeswoman for Bats, declined to comment.

Investment Losses

The “Brexit” debate has already cost the U.K. some foreign investment, according to senior corporate directors at BT Group Plc and Barclays Plc. The discussion began almost three years ago when Cameron pledged to hold a stay-or-go referendum as a way to stop members of his Conservative party from defecting to the U.K. Independence Party, which pushes for separation from the bloc.

Britain leaving the EU is the biggest threat the U.K. economy faces, according to some economists.

Polls suggest many British citizens feel the trade-offs no longer serve their interests and may prefer the idea of living outside the EU, which is the status of Norway and Switzerland. A large poll by former Conservative lawmaker Michael Ashcroft published in December found close to a third of the electorate had yet to make up their minds.

Lower Burdens

The Leave.EU campaign, meanwhile, argued in January that the City has “everything to gain” because London already leads the way in some global financial markets and leaving the EU would reduce regulatory burdens. Mark Astaire, one of Barclays’s senior investment bankers, told British lawmakers on Jan. 6 that the capital would “continue to thrive” even if the U.K. was outside the EU.

The vital question is whether the U.K. will continue to have access to the single market, which doesn’t have a simple answer, Xavier Rolet, chief executive officer of London Stock Exchange Group Plc, said in a March Bloomberg Television interview. Rolet is a member of Cameron’s advisory group.

‘Difficult Situation’

“Without the U.K., Europe would be in a very difficult situation,” Rolet said last month in an interview with Reuters. “I’ve picked up in the last few months, for the first time ever, a sense of stress amongst senior officials there, whether parliamentarians or members of the commission, that the future of Europe is not assured.”

Lenexa, Kansas-based Bats Global Markets added “Brexit” among the risk factors in its filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The company is the second-largest operator of U.S. stock exchanges and plans to list on its own market this year. Its London-based Bats Chi-X Europe unit runs the biggest pan-European exchange.

Companies notify potential investors of a long list of possible concerns in the “Risk Factors” section of their S-1 filings. Listing a risk, such as the hypothetical outcome of a Brexit, doesn’t necessarily mean the company thinks those worries are likely to materialize.

Bats had 284 employees globally as of September, according to the SEC filing.

Its European arm had a 24 percent share of trading in securities available on that market.
Bats also listed European regulations known as MiFID II, a market overhaul initiative, as a risk, as well as the possibility of a common currency member leaving the euro.

Cameron is seeking to reach a deal on revised terms of U.K. membership with his fellow EU leaders at a summit in Brussels this month. Agreement then on key items that Cameron is seeking to renegotiate, including contentious proposals to curb benefits for EU citizens in Britain, would allow a referendum as soon as June.

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Dean Popplewell

Dean Popplewell

Vice-President of Market Analysis at MarketPulse
Dean Popplewell has nearly two decades of experience trading currencies and fixed income instruments. He has a deep understanding of market fundamentals and the impact of global events on capital markets. He is respected among professional traders for his skilled analysis and career history as global head of trading for firms such as Scotia Capital and BMO Nesbitt Burns. Since joining OANDA in 2006, Dean has played an instrumental role in driving awareness of the forex market as an emerging asset class for retail investors, as well as providing expert counsel to a number of internal teams on how to best serve clients and industry stakeholders.
Dean Popplewell