Dallas Fed Publishes Low Corporate Outlook

The corporate outlook in Texas is at its lowest since the state was in recession, the Dallas Federal Reserve said Monday.

The general business activity and company outlook indexes came in at their lowest readings since April 2009, the report said — a time period that saw Texas in recession. The Dallas Fed’s general business activity index fell 13 points to -34.6, and its company outlook index slipped to -19.5.

The report also found that six-month expectations on “prices received for finished goods” went negative in January, suggesting the expectation of a deflationary environment.

Analyst Peter Boockvar said in a Monday note that his team had been expecting a negative print out of Dallas, and “we got that and then some.”

“Bottom line, the data speaks for itself and reflects the major recession the energy patch is in and the ripple effect on other industries,” he wrote.

The Texas economy has been hurt by oil prices well off their triple-digit highs. On Monday morning, WTI crude traded at about $31.

Within certain manufacturing sectors, the bank’s report saw frequent reference to oil and gas prices. For instance, survey respondents from the fabricated metal product manufacturers said they expected the “continued depression in the oil and gas industry to negatively impact our customer base and result in significant demand reduction.”

via CNBC

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Alfonso Esparza

Alfonso Esparza

Senior Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Alfonso Esparza specializes in macro forex strategies for North American and major currency pairs. Upon joining OANDA in 2007, Alfonso Esparza established the MarketPulseFX blog and he has since written extensively about central banks and global economic and political trends. Alfonso has also worked as a professional currency trader focused on North America and emerging markets. He has been published by The MarketWatch, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Globe and Mail, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Bloomberg and BNN. He holds a finance degree from the Monterrey Institute of Technology and Higher Education (ITESM) and an MBA with a specialization on financial engineering and marketing from the University of Toronto.
Alfonso Esparza