Emerging Economies to Weigh on Global Growth: World Bank

Weak growth among major emerging markets will weigh on global expansion in 2016, according to the latest report from the World Bank, with advanced economies solely responsible for a modest increase in global activity.

According to the World Bank’s “January 2016 Global Economic Prospects” report published Wednesday, economic growth in 2016 would pick up to a 2.9 percent pace, from 2.4 percent in 2015, despite weakness in emerging market economies.

While global economic growth was less than expected in 2015 amid a decline in commodity prices, flagging trade and episodes of financial volatility, the World Bank noted, the outlook for the coming year hinged on how developed economies performed.
“Firmer growth ahead will depend on continued momentum in high-income countries, the stabilization of commodity prices, and China’s gradual transition towards a more consumption and services-based growth model.”

The World Bank predicted that developing economies are set to expand by 4.8 percent in 2016, less than earlier forecasts, but up from a post-crisis low of 4.3 percent in the year just ended.


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Craig Erlam

Craig Erlam

Senior Currency Analyst at OANDA
Based in London, England, Craig Erlam joined OANDA in 2015 as a Market Analyst. With more than five years' experience as a financial market analyst and trader, he focuses on both fundamental and technical analysis while conducting macroeconomic commentary. He has been published by The Financial Times, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Telegraph, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Sky News, Bloomberg, CNBC and BBC. Craig holds a full membership to the Society of Technical Analysts and he is recognized as a Certified Financial Technician by the International Federation of Technical Analysts.