European PMIs Slips as Confidence Erodes

Markit’s Composite Flash Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for the euro zone, based on surveys of thousands of companies and seen as a good guide to growth, slipped to 54.0 from November’s 54.2.

While a Reuters poll had suggested it would hold steady at November’s level, it has been above the 50 mark that separates growth from contraction since July 2013.

Williamson said the PMI pointed to fourth quarter economic growth of 0.4 percent, in line with a Reuters poll published last week.

Prices rose just 0.1 percent in November, official data showed earlier this month, and worryingly for policymakers the composite output price index was below 50 for a third month, holding steady at 49.5.

Despite the price cutting, a PMI covering the bloc’s dominant service industry fell to 53.9 from November’s 54.2. But firms were more optimistic about the coming year. The business expectations sub-index climbed to a four-month high of 63.0 from 62.4.

Manufacturers had a better end to the year than expected. Their PMI rose to a 20-month high of 53.1, confounding forecasts for it to hold steady at November’s 52.8.

The output index, which feeds into the composite PMI, jumped to 54.4 from 54.0, also a 20 month high.

via CNBC

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Alfonso Esparza

Alfonso Esparza

Senior Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Alfonso Esparza specializes in macro forex strategies for North American and major currency pairs. Upon joining OANDA in 2007, Alfonso Esparza established the MarketPulseFX blog and he has since written extensively about central banks and global economic and political trends. Alfonso has also worked as a professional currency trader focused on North America and emerging markets. He has been published by The MarketWatch, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Globe and Mail, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Bloomberg and BNN. He holds a finance degree from the Monterrey Institute of Technology and Higher Education (ITESM) and an MBA with a specialization on financial engineering and marketing from the University of Toronto.
Alfonso Esparza