Who’s in Charge? Draghi and Yellen Facing December Decisions

Janet Yellen and Mario Draghi will end the year shaping each other’s decision making.

That’s what some economists are saying a day after European Central Bank President Draghi all-but committed to fresh stimulus for the euro-area in December. The same month was already a focal point for investors debating whether Federal Reserve Chair Yellen would raise the U.S. benchmark for the first time since 2006.

The upshot is that the final month of the year, traditionally a time for winding down and vacations, will be the scene for two of the biggest policy decisions of 2015, with repercussions for currencies, stocks and bonds around the world. The outcome will either be the long-anticipated split in transatlantic policy or a united extension of easy money.

How the euro trades against the dollar in the coming weeks is a key factor for investors trying to gauge the outcome. Europe’s shared currency tumbled to a two-month low on Thursday after Draghi’s stimulus signal.

Bloomberg

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Former Craig

Former Craig

Former Senior Market Analyst, UK & EMEA at OANDA
Based in London, Craig Erlam joined OANDA in 2015 as a market analyst. With many years of experience as a financial market analyst and trader, he focuses on both fundamental and technical analysis while producing macroeconomic commentary. His views have been published in the Financial Times, Reuters, The Telegraph and the International Business Times, and he also appears as a regular guest commentator on the BBC, Bloomberg TV, FOX Business and SKY News. Craig holds a full membership to the Society of Technical Analysts and is recognised as a Certified Financial Technician by the International Federation of Technical Analysts.