Janet Yellen and Mario Draghi will end the year shaping each other’s decision making.
That’s what some economists are saying a day after European Central Bank President Draghi all-but committed to fresh stimulus for the euro-area in December. The same month was already a focal point for investors debating whether Federal Reserve Chair Yellen would raise the U.S. benchmark for the first time since 2006.
The upshot is that the final month of the year, traditionally a time for winding down and vacations, will be the scene for two of the biggest policy decisions of 2015, with repercussions for currencies, stocks and bonds around the world. The outcome will either be the long-anticipated split in transatlantic policy or a united extension of easy money.
How the euro trades against the dollar in the coming weeks is a key factor for investors trying to gauge the outcome. Europe’s shared currency tumbled to a two-month low on Thursday after Draghi’s stimulus signal.
This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.
Craig Erlam
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