PIMCO Says Fed Rate Hike Under 50% Chance This Week

Pacific Investment Management Co, one of the world’s largest asset managers and advised by former Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke, puts a “below 50 percent chance” the Fed will raise short-term interest rates this week, Pimco Group Chief Investment Officer Dan Ivascyn told Reuters on Monday.

Ivascyn said Newport Beach, Calif-based Pimco believes the U.S. central bank’s first rate hike in nine years will come before the end of the year, but not in September.

“The decision this week will be close,” Ivascyn said. “Global weakness, uncertainty around consumer sentiment, inflation still running below target are reasons the Fed will not move this week.”

Pimco held its quarterly forum last week. Pimco managing directors as well as senior advisers including Bernanke and consultant Gene Sperling discussed trends for economies and markets over next 12 to 18 months.

via Reuters

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Alfonso Esparza

Alfonso Esparza

Senior Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Alfonso Esparza specializes in macro forex strategies for North American and major currency pairs. Upon joining OANDA in 2007, Alfonso Esparza established the MarketPulseFX blog and he has since written extensively about central banks and global economic and political trends. Alfonso has also worked as a professional currency trader focused on North America and emerging markets. He has been published by The MarketWatch, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Globe and Mail, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Bloomberg and BNN. He holds a finance degree from the Monterrey Institute of Technology and Higher Education (ITESM) and an MBA with a specialization on financial engineering and marketing from the University of Toronto.
Alfonso Esparza