Summers: Fed Could Be Making a Dangerous Mistake

The U.S. Federal Reserve would make a “serious error” if it raised interest rates in the near future, according to Larry Summers, the former secretary of the U.S. Treasury.

Writing in the Financial Times, the economist and Harvard University professor said that tightening policy would risk inflation being lower than 2 percent — the target set by policymakers at the U.S. central bank — and threaten full employment levels.

“(It) will adversely affect employment levels because higher interest rates make holding on to cash more attractive than investing it. Higher interest rates will also increase the value of the dollar, making U.S. producers less competitive and pressuring the economies of our trading partners,” he wrote.

“The Fed does not have to do the job. At this moment of fragility, raising rates risks tipping some part of the financial system into crisis, with unpredictable and dangerous results.”

This might not be the first time that Summers has expressed such views, but his article comes just a few weeks head of the next policy meeting by the Fed, one of the most closely-watched for years, as some analysts predict that rates could move off their current record lows.

It also comes amid a market selloff that has seen the Dow and Nasdaq slide into correction territory. The major averages posted their worst week in four years last week amid global growth concerns and serious instability in Chinese stock markets. The Shanghai Compositeplunged over 8 percent — its biggest one-day percentage fall since February 27, 2007.


This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Craig Erlam

Craig Erlam

Senior Market Analyst, UK & EMEA at OANDA
Based in London, Craig Erlam joined OANDA in 2015 as a market analyst. With many years of experience as a financial market analyst and trader, he focuses on both fundamental and technical analysis while producing macroeconomic commentary. His views have been published in the Financial Times, Reuters, The Telegraph and the International Business Times, and he also appears as a regular guest commentator on the BBC, Bloomberg TV, FOX Business and SKY News. Craig holds a full membership to the Society of Technical Analysts and is recognised as a Certified Financial Technician by the International Federation of Technical Analysts.
Craig Erlam
Craig Erlam

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