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Some BOJ Members Remain Cautious on Inflation

ome Bank of Japan policymakers continued to hold a cautious view over the timing of achieving the central bank’s 2 percent inflation target, minutes of the July policy meeting showed Wednesday.

One member of the policy board pointed out that the effects of upward pressure on prices from the yen’s depreciation were “diminishing,” as rises in food prices were offset by slower increases in public utility charges, the minutes said.

In the July 14-15 meeting, the BOJ slightly lowered its outlooks for Japan’s economic growth and inflation, reflecting slowing exports and industrial output amid a tepid overseas economic recovery.

Many members maintained the view that the BOJ will likely attain 2 percent inflation by around September 2016, helped by a potential recovery in crude oil prices, according to the minutes.

Such optimism is largely due to growth in the consumer price index excluding fresh food and energy as well as to widespread moves among companies to raise sales prices, suggesting resilience in private consumption.

But a board member presented a conflicting view, arguing that “the rise in daily necessities such as food could weigh on households’ attitude toward consumption, which in turn could restrain price increases.”

via Mainichi [1]

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Alfonso Esparza

Alfonso Esparza [6]

Senior Currency Analyst at Market Pulse [7]
Alfonso Esparza specializes in macro forex strategies for North American and major currency pairs. Upon joining OANDA in 2007, Alfonso Esparza established the MarketPulseFX blog and he has since written extensively about central banks and global economic and political trends. Alfonso has also worked as a professional currency trader focused on North America and emerging markets. He has been published by The MarketWatch, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Globe and Mail, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Bloomberg and BNN. He holds a finance degree from the Monterrey Institute of Technology and Higher Education (ITESM) and an MBA with a specialization on financial engineering and marketing from the University of Toronto.
Alfonso Esparza
Alfonso Esparza

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