Oppenheimer Still Sees Weaker Gold Ahead

Gold simply cannot catch a break. After spending the year bouncing around five-year lows, the commodity hit a new bottom for that time frame Thursday, trading at about $1,087. And according to some traders, the worst is yet to come.

“The long-term trend is indeed lower,” Ari Wald of Oppenheimer said Thursday on CNBC’s “Power Lunch.” “Gold has been making lower highs for a number of years now.”

Wald said gold and other commodities that are priced in U.S. dollars will continue to be hit hard by the strengthened currency. The dollar rose to one-week highs on Thursday, and has gained 8 percent year to date.

According to Wald’s chart of the SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), gold is just catching up to the trend of the 200-day moving average, which has been substantially lower in the past couple years.

“The most recent breakdown is really just confirmation of what’s been in the charts for some time now,” Wald said.

via CNBC

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Alfonso Esparza

Alfonso Esparza

Senior Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Alfonso Esparza specializes in macro forex strategies for North American and major currency pairs. Upon joining OANDA in 2007, Alfonso Esparza established the MarketPulseFX blog and he has since written extensively about central banks and global economic and political trends. Alfonso has also worked as a professional currency trader focused on North America and emerging markets. He has been published by The MarketWatch, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Globe and Mail, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Bloomberg and BNN. He holds a finance degree from the Monterrey Institute of Technology and Higher Education (ITESM) and an MBA with a specialization on financial engineering and marketing from the University of Toronto.
Alfonso Esparza