Oil Above $60 as Greek Hope Rises

Oil prices rose in early European trading Monday as investors grew optimistic over Greek debt negotiations, though persistent oversupply worries remained a factor for oil markets.

On the New York Mercantile Exchange, light, sweet crude futures for delivery in July CLN5, -0.45%  moved above $60 a barrel, up 60 cents or 1%. August Brent crude on London’s ICE Futures exchange LCOQ5, -0.27%  was up 45 cents, or 0.7%, to $63.47 a barrel.

Eurozone leaders will try to reach an agreement on Greece’s bailout at an emergency meeting today. Failure to reach an agreement could put Greece on the road to bankruptcy and exit from the euro, officials have warned in recent days. Any major currency swings as a fallout of the debt talks would impact commodities prices, including oil.

Meanwhile, excess oil production continues to pressure oil prices.

The Atlantic Basin remains flush with unsold oil cargoes despite strong summer demand, resulting in some of the weakest prices in years, which is a worrying sign for the market in the fall season, Morgan Stanley’s Adam Longson said in a report.

Around 10 million barrels of mostly Nigerian crude and crude of other similar grades is lingering offshore West Africa, he said. “Some cargoes are taking more than 3 months to find buyers, and current loading programs are not selling well,” Longson added.

Market observers are also keeping an eye on when U.S. oil production will show signs of significant declines due to low oil prices. The U.S. oil-rig count fell by four to 631 in the latest week, according to Baker Hughes Inc., marking the 28th straight week of declines.

via MarketWatch

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Alfonso Esparza

Alfonso Esparza

Senior Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Alfonso Esparza specializes in macro forex strategies for North American and major currency pairs. Upon joining OANDA in 2007, Alfonso Esparza established the MarketPulseFX blog and he has since written extensively about central banks and global economic and political trends. Alfonso has also worked as a professional currency trader focused on North America and emerging markets. He has been published by The MarketWatch, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Globe and Mail, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Bloomberg and BNN. He holds a finance degree from the Monterrey Institute of Technology and Higher Education (ITESM) and an MBA with a specialization on financial engineering and marketing from the University of Toronto.
Alfonso Esparza