Oil Rises Due to Growing US Demand

Oil climbed by more than a dollar to above $65 a barrel on Wednesday as strong demand and falling stockpiles in the United States pushed prices higher.

Brent futures were up $1.23 at $64.93 a barrel by 8.05 a.m. EDT, having touched a high of $65.47. Front month U.S. crude futures were up $1.04 at $61.01 per barrel.

Data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration, due at 10.30 a.m. EDT, is forecast to show that U.S. crude stocks fell for a seventh consecutive week, according to a Reuters poll of analysts.

JP Morgan said in its weekly oil research note that U.S. production had reached a new high this week but would start to drop.

An expected fall in U.S. crude production because of the relatively high cost of producing shale has also supported prices.

Despite the demand strength in the United States and Asia, prices have mostly stayed below $65 a barrel this year, compared with Brent crude’s $115 this time last year.

An excess supply of oil in the Atlantic basin has seen traders leave full tankers at sea.

“There are so many tankers floating for prompt delivery that people will want to see the fall in shale production, rather than predictions of a decline, before it will give much support,” said Maarten van Mourik, an independent oil economist in Paris.

Yet some analysts expect prices to rise somewhat going into the second half of the year because of strong demand and an expected fall in stocks.

via Reuters

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Alfonso Esparza

Alfonso Esparza

Senior Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Alfonso Esparza specializes in macro forex strategies for North American and major currency pairs. Upon joining OANDA in 2007, Alfonso Esparza established the MarketPulseFX blog and he has since written extensively about central banks and global economic and political trends. Alfonso has also worked as a professional currency trader focused on North America and emerging markets. He has been published by The MarketWatch, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Globe and Mail, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Bloomberg and BNN. He holds a finance degree from the Monterrey Institute of Technology and Higher Education (ITESM) and an MBA with a specialization on financial engineering and marketing from the University of Toronto.
Alfonso Esparza