Oil Rises 2% Despiste Higher Inventories

Oil prices rallied more than 2 percent on Thursday, clawing back part of a 6 percent slump triggered by a jump in U.S. crude inventories and record Saudi output, although analysts said sentiment remained bearish.

A 10.95-million-barrel surge in U.S. crude stockpiles to an all-time high of 482.4 million last week, the biggest gain in 14 years, and Saudi oil production of 10.3 million barrels a day (bpd) in March battered crude on Wednesday.

But traders said the sell-off had been overdone and some recovery and a rebalancing of positions was understandable after such a sharp fall.

Brent crude LCOc1 was up $1.37 at $56.92 a barrel by 0747 ET, while U.S. crude CLc1 was up $1.03 at $51.45. Both benchmarks dropped around $3.50 on Wednesday.

“Brent fell to the bottom of its $55 to $60 trading range yesterday and has consequently turned higher,” said Carsten Fritsch, senior oil and commodities analyst at Commerzbank.

“Huge volatility has been the name of the game in the past few days,” Fritsch added.

Close-to-close price volatility for Brent is at levels last seen during the height of the global financial crisis of 2008/2009, Reuters data show.

U.S. oil inventories are rising fast as domestic oil production outstrips U.S. demand and the ability of U.S. refiners to process crude oil.

Cushing, the delivery point for U.S. crude oil futures contracts, is now filled to 85 percent of its total working capacity of 70.1 million barrels, industry analysts estimate.

“Total U.S. crude stocks continued to fly far above five-year highs, setting new records every week,” Societe Generale analysts said in a note to clients.

via Reuters

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Alfonso Esparza

Alfonso Esparza

Senior Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Alfonso Esparza specializes in macro forex strategies for North American and major currency pairs. Upon joining OANDA in 2007, Alfonso Esparza established the MarketPulseFX blog and he has since written extensively about central banks and global economic and political trends. Alfonso has also worked as a professional currency trader focused on North America and emerging markets. He has been published by The MarketWatch, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Globe and Mail, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Bloomberg and BNN. He holds a finance degree from the Monterrey Institute of Technology and Higher Education (ITESM) and an MBA with a specialization on financial engineering and marketing from the University of Toronto.
Alfonso Esparza