U.S. Dollar Starts the Week Lower

The dollar started trade in Asia on the defensive, after a volatile few days in the wake of the Federal Reserve’s dovish steer, which cast doubts on bullish positions in the greenback.  The dollar index eased 0.2 percent to 97.696 early on Monday, staying well clear of a 12-year peak of 100.390 set on March 13.

The index was nearing the post-Fed meeting trough of 96.628 hit last week when investors moved to price in a later start and a slower pace for future U.S rate rises.  The greenback stood at 120.01 yen, following Friday’s fall from 121.205. The euro climbed to $1.0838, pulling further away from a 12-year trough of $1.0457 plumbed last week.

“Our technical analyst highlights a series of bearish weekly key reversals for USD against EUR, GBP and CAD, suggesting USD will start this week on the back foot,” said Elsa Lignos, senior currency strategist at RBC Capital Markets.  “But as we still expect a June start to the Fed’s hiking cycle and look for further policy divergence from here, this correction should be an opportunity to re-establish USD longs.”


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