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Not All Agree with RBA’s Opinion on A$

The Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) claim that the Australian dollar is overvalued is not only wrong, it’s disingenuous, according to new research by National Australia Bank.

“We’re taking issue with the contention that the RBA continues to repeat that the Australian dollar remains fundamentally overvalued, in particular with relation to the weakness in commodity prices,” Ray Attrill, co-head of FX Strategy at National Australia Bank (NAB), told CNBC.

In the RBA’s recent monthly policy statements, the central bank frequently stated that the currency “remains above estimates of its fundamental value, given the significant declines in key commodity prices,” particularly Brent crude’s 40 percent decline over the past six months and a decline in iron ore prices to a six-year low. Fair value, according to RBA governor Glenn Stevens, is 75 U.S. cents – a 4 percent decrease from current levels.

CNBC [1]

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