Gold prices are unchanged on Friday, as the metal is trading at a spot price of $1266.92. Today’s highlight is US Nonfarm Employment Change. The markets are expecting a weak report for January, with an estimate of 236 thousand. The US will also release the unemployment rate, which is expected to remain at 5.6%.
In the US, this week’s employment readings have not impressed. ADP Non-Farm Employment Change was well off expectations, falling to 213 thousand. The estimate stood at 224 thousand. Unemployment Claims rose to 278 thousand last week, although this did beat the forecast of 287 thousand. If the official Nonfarm Employment Change does soften as is expected, the dollar could lose some ground.
The new Greek government has been talking tough about renegotiating its bailout agreement, much to the consternation of the troika and Germany. Greece has declared that it will not honor the current bailout agreement and has put a halt to the sale of major public assets to help pay back its debt. The ECB hit back on Wednesday, saying that it would no longer accept Greek government bonds as collateral for ECB loans. This will put pressure on Greek banks and serves as a warning that the ECB will not stand idly by as Greece tries to avoid its bailout obligations. The fireworks could continue next week, as German Chancellor Angela Merkel and Greek Prime Ministerattend an EU meeting in Brussels next week.
XAU/USD for Friday, February 6, 2015
XAU/USD February 6 at 9:35 GMT
XAU/USD 1267.42 H: 1268.84 L: 1262.39
- XAU/USD has shown very little movement in the Asian or European sessions, as resistance at 1275 remains in place.
- 1275 is a weak resistance line. 1300 is stronger.
- 1255 is an immediate support level. 1240 is next.
- Current range: 1255 to 1275
Further levels in both directions:
- Below: 1255, 1240, 1215 and 1200
- Above: 1275, 1300, 1322, 1345 and 1375
OANDA’s Open Positions Ratio
XAU/USD ratio is pointing to gains in short positions on Friday, reversing the trend seen a day earlier. This is consistent with the pair’s movement as gold has posted small losses. The ratio has a majority of long positions, indicating trader bias towards gold moving to higher ground.
- 13:30 US Nonfarm Employment Change. Estimate 236K.
- 13:30 US Unemployment Rate. Estimate 5.6%.
- 13:30 US Average Hourly Earnings. Estimate 0.3%.
- 16:45 US FOMC Member Dennis Lockhart Speaks.
- 20:00 US Consumer Credit. Estimate 15.1B.
*Key releases are highlighted in bold
*All release times are GMT