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Gold Unchanged Ahead of US Housing Numbers

Gold is showing little movement on Monday, as XAU/USD trades slightly below the $1200 level. In the European session, the spot price stands at $1195.94. It could be a quiet week for gold ahead of the Christmas holiday. On the release front, today’s sole event is US Existing Home Sales. The markets are expecting the indicator to soften in November, with an estimate of 5.21 million.

In the US, employment numbers continued to impress last week, as unemployment claims dropped to 289 thousand, the lowest level in six weeks. The easily beat the estimate of 297 thousand. The news was not as good on the manufacturing front, as the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index slid to 24.5 points, down from 40.6 points in November. The November reading was unusually high, and the markets had expected a sharp downturn, with the estimate standing at 26.3 points.

Previous Fed policy statements have usually stated that the Fed would maintain low rates for a “considerable time”, but the December statement changed terminology, saying the Fed would be “patient” before raising rates. In a follow-press conference, Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen was less ambiguous, saying that the Fed was unlikely to raise rates for the “next couple of meetings”. The markets took this to mean that a rate hike is in the works, but not before April. Gold prices remained steady after the Fed statement, but as an interest rate hike by mid-2015 seems likely, there is room for the dollar to make gains against gold.

XAU/USD for Monday, December 22, 2014

XAU/USD December 22 at 11:25 GMT

XAU/USD 1195.94 H: 1203.36 L: 1194.80

 

XAU/USD Technical

S3 S2 S1 R1 R2 R3
1130 1156 1175 1200 1215 1240

 

Further levels in both directions:

 

OANDA’s Open Positions Ratio

XAU/USD ratio is pointing to gains in long positions on Monday. This is not consistent with the lack of movement we are seeing from the pair. The ratio has a majority of long positions, indicative of trader bias towards gold breaking out of range and moving to higher ground.

XAU/USD Fundamentals

* Key releases are highlighted in bold

*All release times are GMT

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Kenny Fisher

Kenny Fisher [4]

Market Analyst at OANDA [5]
A highly experienced financial market analyst with a focus on fundamental analysis, Kenneth Fisher’s daily commentary covers a broad range of markets including forex, equities and commodities. His work has been published in several major online financial publications including Investing.com, Seeking Alpha and FXStreet. Based in Israel, Kenny has been a MarketPulse contributor since 2012.
Kenny Fisher

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