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USD/CAD – Limited Movement Despite Solid Housing Data

The Canadian dollar is steady on Wednesday. Early in the North American session, USD/CAD is trading in the high-1.11 range. On the release front, Canadian Housing Starts rose slightly to 197 thousand. Over in the US, today’s highlight is the minutes of the FOMC’s most recent policy meeting. Traders should treat this event as a market-mover.

Canadian Housing Starts continued to post solid numbers in September. The indicator rose to 197 thousand, up from 192 thousand a month earlier. This was within markets expectations, as the estimate stood at 195 thousand. Earlier in the week, Building Permits took a plunge. This key release often displays strong volatility, and this was indeed the case in the August reading, as the key indicator came in at -27.3%. This follows three months of strong gains. There was much better news on Monday, as Ivey PMI improved to 58.6 points, up sharply from 50.9 points a month earlier. The strong reading easily beat the estimate of 53.4, as the index hit its highest level in 11 months.

US job numbers continue to impress. On Tuesday, JOLTS Job Openings climbed to 4.84 million, up from 4.67 million a month earlier. The indicator is on a strong upward trend, indicative of the US employment sector. Last week, Nonfarm Employment change rebounded in September, climbing to 248 thousand. This exceeded expectations of 216 thousand. The unemployment rate dipped to 5.9%, the first time it’s been below the 6% threshold in over six years. With QE slated to end later this month, the focus will shift to the timetable for an interest rake hike. Strong employment numbers such as these could put pressure on the Fed to make an interest rate move sooner rather than later in 2015, and increased speculation about a rate move will likely boost the dollar even further.

USD/CAD for Wednesday, October 8, 2014

USD/CAD October 8 at 12:05 GMT

USD/CAD 1.1173 H: 1.1188 L: 1.1153


USD/CAD Technical

S3 S2 S1 R1 R2 R3
1.0961 1.1004 1.1124 1.1278 1.1414 1.1493


Further levels in both directions:


OANDA’s Open Positions Ratio

USD/CAD ratio is almost unchanged on Wednesday. This is consistent with the pair’s limited movement. The ratio has a majority of short positions, indicating trader bias towards the Canadian dollar breaking out of range and moving to higher ground.


USD/CAD Fundamentals

* Key releases are in highlighted bold.

*All release times are GMT

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Kenny Fisher

Kenny Fisher [4]

Market Analyst at OANDA [5]
A highly experienced financial market analyst with a focus on fundamental analysis, Kenneth Fisher’s daily commentary covers a broad range of markets including forex, equities and commodities. His work has been published in several major online financial publications including Investing.com, Seeking Alpha and FXStreet. Based in Israel, Kenny has been a MarketPulse contributor since 2012.
Kenny Fisher

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