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Goldman Downgrades China Growth

Goldman Sachs is the latest bank to slash its growth outlook for China as weak economic activity triggers fresh concerns of over slowing growth.

The U.S. bank on Wednesday lowered its third and fourth quarter growth forecasts to 7.1 percent from 7.3 and 7.2 percent, respectively. It expects growth to slow to 7.3 percent this year from 7.7 percent last year.

“August activity data posted a large downside surprise…risks are clearly skewed to the downside of these figures, particularly for Q3, given the sharp tightening in credit seen in July and August,” the bank wrote in a report.

Goldman also cut its 2015 growth estimate to 7.1 percent from 7.6 percent on expectations that the government will reduce its growth target next year in order to limit the accumulation of financial risks and reduce pressure for policy stimulus.

While China will benefit from stronger global demand spearheaded by the U.S., slower infrastructure and property investment will continue to weigh on growth, the bank said.

via CNBC [1]

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Alfonso Esparza

Alfonso Esparza [6]

Senior Currency Analyst at Market Pulse [7]
Alfonso Esparza specializes in macro forex strategies for North American and major currency pairs. Upon joining OANDA in 2007, Alfonso Esparza established the MarketPulseFX blog and he has since written extensively about central banks and global economic and political trends. Alfonso has also worked as a professional currency trader focused on North America and emerging markets. He has been published by The MarketWatch, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Globe and Mail, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Bloomberg and BNN. He holds a finance degree from the Monterrey Institute of Technology and Higher Education (ITESM) and an MBA with a specialization on financial engineering and marketing from the University of Toronto.
Alfonso Esparza
Alfonso Esparza

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