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USD/CAD – Listless In Thin Holiday Trade

The Canadian dollar is showing little movement on Monday, as USD/CAD trades in the mid-1.08 range in the North American session. On Friday, there was mixed news out of the US, as Building Permits shot higher while UoM Consumer Sentiment weakened in April. Canadian Foreign Securities Purchases disappointed in April, posting a decline. On Monday, trading is light as Canadian markets are closed for a holiday. As well, there are no US releases on Monday, so we could be in for an uneventful day.

In the US, last week ended with encouraging housing numbers. Building Permits jumped to 1.08 million, well above the estimate of 1.01 million. This was the highest level we’ve seen since December 2006. Housing Starts continues to move higher and climbed to 1.07M, compared to the estimate of 0.98M. This marked a five-month high. Meanwhile, UoM Consumer Sentiment dipped to 81.8 points, short of the estimate of 84.7 points.

Although US inflation numbers have not impressed, employment and manufacturing numbers looked sharp last Thursday. Unemployment Claims were outstanding, dropping to 297 thousand last week. This easily beat the estimate of 321 thousand and was the lowest level we’ve seen since May 2007. On the manufacturing front, the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index dipped to 15.4 points, but this was well above the estimate of 13.9 points. As well, Empire State Manufacturing Index climbed to 19.0 points, crushing the estimate of 5.5. This was the indicator’s best showing in two years.


USD/CAD for Monday, May 19, 2014

Forex Rate Graph 21/1/13

USD/CAD May 19 at 14:15 GMT

USD/CAD 1.0873 H: 1.0875 L: 1.0850


USD/CAD Technical

S3 S2 S1 R1 R2 R3
1.0706 1.0775 1.0852 1.0906 1.10 1.1094


Further levels in both directions:


OANDA’s Open Positions Ratio

USD/CAD ratio is almost unchanged in Monday trading. This is consistent with what we are seeing from the pair, which has shown very little activity. The ratio has a majority of long positions, indicative of trader bias in favor of the US dollar moving to higher ground.

USD/CAD is listless at the start of the trading week. In the North American session, the pair is steady.


USD/CAD Fundamentals


This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Kenny Fisher

Kenny Fisher [4]

Market Analyst at OANDA [5]
A highly experienced financial market analyst with a focus on fundamental analysis, Kenneth Fisher’s daily commentary covers a broad range of markets including forex, equities and commodities. His work has been published in several major online financial publications including Investing.com, Seeking Alpha and FXStreet. Based in Israel, Kenny has been a MarketPulse contributor since 2012.
Kenny Fisher

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